Iliad Written in 762BC?

[Sean Manning]

One issue is that the time difference between Homeric Greek and Hittite depends on the date of divergence between 'classical' Indo-European and Anatolian, and that is controversial.

Yes. Reading their article, they assume that PIE was spoken in the 7th millenium BCE Anatolia, but I think 4th millenium BCE central Asia still has many supporters. I don't understand their statistical argument well enough to say how different assumptions about PIE might affect it.

The other interesting thing is that their original method gave mean 707 BCE, 95% confidence interval 1351-61 BCE. Being good Bayesians, they repeated their calculation with a prior centered on 800 BCE according to the traditional sorts of evidence. I wonder what would happen if you took mean 750 BCE, standard deviation 50 years as your prior? I am not a good enough statistician to repeat their process.

I am not certain how much this adds to our knowledge, but it is certainly a clever approach.