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Roman 3rd Century Economic Recovery
#1
There has been much written comparing ancient Rome to the United States. Some of these comparisons are well known and well founded while others fall under the heading of overheated rhetoric.

Be that as it may, here is a new article using the Roman experience to illuminate our own times.

Our members who are more versed in late Roman History might weigh in on this topic and favor us with their insights on the accuracy of the Professor's understanding of Roman history. In that way we might void the thorny topic of current events/politics. :?

http://www.news.cornell.edu/stories/Oct ... reNYC.html


Oct. 12, 2009
[size=150:wrf9meiz]Roman Empire's economic recovery has lessons for today, Cornell professor tells alumni[/size]
By Liz Borod Wright

Our economic climate may seem grim, but our situation is far better than that of Rome in the third century, said Kim Bowes, Cornell assistant professor of classical archaeology, to a packed room of alumni at the Weill Greenberg Center in New York City Oct. 8.

"Almost everything that has happened [in the United States] over the last year has happened in some deviation before in the period that I study," she said, which "is essentially the equivalent of 2008 for the Roman Empire." That period, when the empire's economy collapsed, is also known as the later Roman Empire or late antiquity.

Bowes' lecture, "An Important Lesson in Finance: Bailing Out the Roman Empire," was the highlight of an evening coordinated by Cornell Wall Street and Cornell on the Road. Thanks to big government, high taxes, a "sophisticated use of corruption" and monetarism, two Roman emperors instituted the world's greatest bailout package and saved the Roman empire, which flourished in the fourth century, Bowes said.

The collapse was triggered in 260 AD when Roman Emperor Valerian lost a war to Persia, and political instability in Rome followed. Inflation rose to 700 percent. Archaeologists haven't been able to unearth many objects in the countryside of this largely agrarian society from this time period because the people were so poor, Bowes said.

"This was an age of extraordinary economic collapse," she said.

Diocletian, whom Bowes called "the best Roman emperor ever," halted the empire's decline when he came into power at the end of the third century, she said. He split the territory into two parts, and then further subdivided the parts into managerial districts, increasing government personnel eight times, a modern forerunner to big government.

"The idea that you have people on the ground for the government to run efficiently is Diocletian's idea," Bowes said.

As the states grew, so did tax collection, which became an industry itself. Tax collecting was highly desirable as those involved skimmed off the top. People were encouraged to pay their taxes, because they hoped to be employed by the tax officials one day, according to Bowes.

As the government and the tax collectors became richer, so did the entire population, said Bowes, who was part of the Roman Peasant Project in Cinigiano, Tuscany, in collaboration with the Universita di Siena, which revealed that in the fourth century, the rural poor had far more consumer goods than in previous centuries.

"Somehow, even in a landscape not important to the empire, the money [was] trickling down," Bowes said.

She said her pick for the No. 2 Roman leader of all time is Diocletian's successor, Constantine: "He introduced the first gold standard," Bowes said. Previously, the values of the silver and gold coins in circulation played off each other, resulting in constant confusion over the worth of money.

"People had faith in money again," Bowes said, which led to the creation of the commodities market. "People [could] now produce agricultural surpluses whose value could be determined and be traded off of," she said. The end result was that "the fourth century was rich, rich, rich," Bowes said.

Liz Borod Wright '99 is a freelance writer in New York City.


:wink:

Narukami
David Reinke
Burbank CA
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#2
Don't know if I would put Constantine at number 2 but interesting article anyway.

There's always a danger in overplaying historical analogies. I would support the general thrust of Wright's argument about the 4th century recovery while noting that the Romans economic problems were ultimately derived from the inherent weaknesses in its political structure. The roman state was a prerequisite to the roman economy with the money to pay soldiers creating the liquidity to support local economic activity and the needs of the state supporting a whole range of economic activity which otherwise would not have occurred.

When the legitimacy of the emperor came into question with a weakening in the concept of dynastic succession the threat of assassination and civil war were ever present. Civil war led to the troops getting pulled away from the frontiers, leading to barbarian invasion, leading to economic contraction, leading to a crisis of faith in the state, leading to break-away movements such as the Gallic Empire better capable of providing localised defence etc. All of which lead to more wars, economic contraction.

Roman emperors notably Aurelian, Diocletian and Constantine were able to stabilise the imperial political system (while not eliminating its inherent weaknesses)through greater centralisation, autocracy and ruthless taxation but at a hard and ultimately corrosive cost to the society they were trying to protect.

Alas I cant comment on the findings of her Roman Peasant project arguing the improvement of living standards of the Roman peasant in the 4th century as I have not read about it elsewhere but I don't think on the whole that life would have been better for peasants in the 4th century. That would ultimately be driven by overall economic conditions. The roman society was an urban one and the spread of roman values and support for the empire came from well-to-do provincials whose responsibility it was to maintain urban infrastructure. As the state bore down on this 'decurion class' imposing personal liability for taxation this group started to wither with flow on effects for the nature of society and the economy. I can't imagine anyone would volunteer to maintain the roads, walls and be personally liable for any shortfall in taxation revenues which is why the government compelled decurion's to stay in their position by force. Gradually this group would be driven to the wall leading to a society of a narrow group of super rich holding most of the land with no obligation for community service and everyone else, a society of large villas but crumbling cities.

The sense of societal upward mobility seems to be very remote in late antiquity other than through government, military or clerical service. The implications of this were far worse in the West than the East with its larger cities and greater overall physical security. The archaelogical record does show a considerable drop off in trade in the west indicating a overall decline in complexity which would not be consistent with an improvement in the lot of the peasantry.

As an aside, the Roman response to the crisis of the third century is discussed by Joseph Tainter an archaelogist famous for Collapse of Complex Societies. One article of his although not the best can be found here:
http://dieoff.org/page134.htm

While I could quibble with some of the argument presented Tainter's thesis is applied by Ugo Bardi in:

"Peak Civilization": The Fall of the Roman Empire
http://europe.theoildrum.com/node/5528
Andrew J M
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