09-22-2021, 10:33 AM
My point was not to expect to look for the kind of scale he was listing as it’s unlikley to be at that scale to be found.
Ultimately we lack enough data to answer most of the questions in this thread which I’ve not fully read , I’m not even sure it’s all happening in one campaign season, but we do know that Romans fought 10 ranks deep, and there was 15 cohort equivalents present, which gives 720 in contact at any point in time to do the killing, so the rate of death can be adduced to fairly good number per hour in contact.2500 in contact is less reliable as Romans did not fight that way.
What is a stand out is the extreme outcome, much like Midway, combat models could not replicate the historical outcome, so the models were changed to allow for the statistically improbability event, this battle is just like that event, the outcome is way outside combat model prediction.
I’ll add Crummy to my to do list, ta for the pointer.
Ultimately we lack enough data to answer most of the questions in this thread which I’ve not fully read , I’m not even sure it’s all happening in one campaign season, but we do know that Romans fought 10 ranks deep, and there was 15 cohort equivalents present, which gives 720 in contact at any point in time to do the killing, so the rate of death can be adduced to fairly good number per hour in contact.2500 in contact is less reliable as Romans did not fight that way.
What is a stand out is the extreme outcome, much like Midway, combat models could not replicate the historical outcome, so the models were changed to allow for the statistically improbability event, this battle is just like that event, the outcome is way outside combat model prediction.
I’ll add Crummy to my to do list, ta for the pointer.
